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Red129
689435.6
560716.5
904216.1
Blue118
672921.0
1030221.6
830421.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7488406080100120140129118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+33Teleop
+29Endgame
+11Fouls
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points6
12Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +33
23Coral scored#12
81Coral points44
3Processor algae#3
4Net algae#5
18Processor points18
16Net points20
34Algae points38
115Total teleop82
Reef
7L4#4
7L3#3
6L2#3
4L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points18
129Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.62.5
31.033.4
Auto6.3
Teleop28.6
End0.7
red by 13.9
8304
#15
21.70.4
20.921.3
Auto5.4
Teleop15.0
End1.3
Second
5607
#25
16.52.5
13.916.4
Auto3.1
Teleop12.6
End0.8
blue by 5.1
21.60.4
19.019.4
Auto4.3
Teleop15.5
End1.9
Third
9042
#20
16.12.5
11.013.4
Auto3.9
Teleop10.3
End1.8
blue by 5.0
6729
#23
21.00.4
21.221.6
Auto2.1
Teleop17.9
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsEarned30%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
11%Barge oddsMissed5%Barge oddsMissed