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Qual 562025 FNC District UNC Pembroke Event
Red65
978812.8
1024813.9
651226.2
Blue115
481613.5
1058320.6
90051.1
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4996015065115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+56
Endgame+44
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +13
3Leave3
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points19
9Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +43
8Coral scored#18
30Coral points65
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
40Total teleop83
Reef
4L4#12
2L3#5
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#26
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points6
65Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6512
#5
26.20.5
25.1→25.6
Auto5.5
Teleop13.6
End7.2
blue by 24.9
900
#3
51.11.4
50.6→52.0
Auto13.1
Teleop36.3
End1.8
Second
10248
#28
13.90.5
13.0→13.5
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End1.8
blue by 6.7
10583
#21
20.61.4
18.7→20.2
Auto4.0
Teleop14.5
End2.1
Third
9788
#31
12.80.5
10.5→10.9
Auto2.8
Teleop8.8
End1.3
blue by 0.7
4816
#8
13.51.4
10.3→11.7
Auto4.1
Teleop7.5
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsMissed92%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
18%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsMissed