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Red66
205942.9
87579.7
929619.3
Blue43
744315.3
1012117.1
560716.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions905502040801001201401606643

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+13Teleop
+23Endgame
+23Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave3
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +6
7Coral scored#7
26Coral points24
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
6Processor points6
4Net points0
10Algae points6
36Total teleop30
Reef
4L4#3
3L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#9
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +23
0Foul points0
66Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.90.5
43.743.2
Auto8.0
Teleop28.4
End6.6
red by 25.8
17.10.4
16.115.7
Auto5.1
Teleop10.8
End1.2
Second
9296
#19
19.30.5
19.919.4
Auto5.7
Teleop11.5
End2.1
red by 2.8
5607
#25
16.50.4
16.416.0
Auto3.1
Teleop12.6
End0.8
Third
8757
#30
9.70.5
10.39.8
Auto2.4
Teleop5.0
End2.3
blue by 5.7
7443
#26
15.30.4
16.416.0
Auto4.1
Teleop9.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
44%Barge oddsEarned5%Barge oddsMissed