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Red38
820514.4
551810.4
205942.9
Blue68
87579.7
264027.3
1026015.9
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7957020401001201403868

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+22
Endgame+24
Fouls+30
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +19
6Coral scored#8
21Coral points30
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
25Total teleop44
Reef
2L4#4
2L3#2
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +30
0Foul points6
38Total score68

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.91.9
40.438.4
Auto8.0
Teleop28.4
End6.6
red by 15.6
2640
#11
27.30.7
21.822.5
Auto3.7
Teleop21.9
End1.7
Second
8205
#29
14.41.9
19.517.6
Auto3.5
Teleop10.5
End0.4
blue by 1.5
15.90.7
14.114.7
Auto5.6
Teleop8.7
End1.6
Third
5518
#27
10.41.9
6.94.9
Auto2.4
Teleop6.7
End1.3
red by 0.7
8757
#30
9.70.7
16.216.8
Auto2.4
Teleop5.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsMissed19%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed35%Barge oddsMissed