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Red43
1058320.6
904216.1
978812.8
Blue58
334914.6
972412.0
651226.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions444001001502004358

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+9
Endgame+17
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +3
5Coral scored#8
19Coral points28
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#1
6Processor points0
4Net points4
10Algae points4
29Total teleop32
Reef
2L4#3
1L3#3
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
7Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +15
2Foul points0
43Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.60.0
17.717.6
Auto4.0
Teleop14.5
End2.1
blue by 5.7
26.21.2
16.017.2
Auto5.5
Teleop13.6
End7.2
Second
9042
#20
16.10.0
11.611.6
Auto3.9
Teleop10.3
End1.8
red by 1.5
3349
#14
14.61.2
8.59.7
Auto3.0
Teleop10.0
End1.6
Third
9788
#31
12.80.0
7.37.2
Auto2.8
Teleop8.8
End1.3
red by 0.8
12.01.2
9.810.9
Auto4.3
Teleop5.4
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
15%Auto oddsMissed13%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
8%Barge oddsMissed28%Barge oddsEarned