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Red121
1012117.1
90051.1
919820.5
Blue48
1030221.6
903234.3
744315.3
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions837320406010012014012148

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+67Teleop
+73Endgame
+73Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave3
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points6
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +64
13Coral scored#7
47Coral points25
4Processor algae#1
8Net algae#2
24Processor points6
32Net points8
56Algae points14
103Total teleop39
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#1
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#11
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +73
0Foul points0
121Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
900
#3
51.12.6
40.843.4
Auto13.1
Teleop36.3
End1.8
red by 16.8
9032
#17
34.31.8
33.131.4
Auto8.0
Teleop25.4
End0.9
Second
9198
#10
20.52.6
17.820.4
Auto4.3
Teleop14.8
End1.4
blue by 1.2
21.61.8
16.514.8
Auto4.3
Teleop15.5
End1.9
Third
17.12.6
12.415.0
Auto5.1
Teleop10.8
End1.2
red by 1.8
7443
#26
15.31.8
13.411.7
Auto4.1
Teleop9.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned77%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed13%Barge oddsMissed