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Qual 102025 FNC District UNC Pembroke Event
Red75
333615.1
382219.3
1024813.9
Blue125
830421.7
929619.3
453445.3
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5010002040608012014016075125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
Teleop+40
Endgame+38
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +17
3Leave3
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points23
9Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +23
14Coral scored#14
50Coral points51
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#5
6Processor points12
4Net points20
10Algae points32
60Total teleop83
Reef
7L4#6
3L3#4
4L2#5
1L1 · trough#4
17Game pieces#26
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points12
75Total score125

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3822
#22
19.30.7
22.4→23.1
Auto6.1
Teleop11.5
End1.7
blue by 26.0
4534
#2
45.31.0
39.7→40.7
Auto14.8
Teleop28.5
End1.9
Second
3336
#18
15.10.7
8.8→9.5
Auto3.1
Teleop9.2
End2.8
blue by 6.5
8304
#15
21.71.0
15.8→16.8
Auto5.4
Teleop15.0
End1.3
Third
10248
#28
13.90.7
10.7→11.4
Auto4.5
Teleop7.7
End1.8
blue by 5.4
9296
#19
19.31.0
20.2→21.2
Auto5.7
Teleop11.5
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
32%Auto oddsMissed77%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
12%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed