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Red44
560716.5
651226.2
551810.4
Blue73
689435.6
264027.3
334914.6
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3482020601001201401604473

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
Teleop+31
Endgame+29
Fouls+29
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave9
2Coral scored#1
10Coral points3
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +35
5Coral scored#10
18Coral points35
1Processor algae#2
0Net algae#3
6Processor points12
0Net points12
6Algae points24
24Total teleop59
Reef
3L4#4
2L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
8Game pieces#16
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +29
0Foul points0
44Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.20.5
17.217.7
Auto5.5
Teleop13.6
End7.2
blue by 9.3
35.60.5
33.934.4
Auto6.3
Teleop28.6
End0.7
Second
5607
#25
16.50.5
11.011.5
Auto3.1
Teleop12.6
End0.8
blue by 10.8
2640
#11
27.30.5
22.523.0
Auto3.7
Teleop21.9
End1.7
Third
5518
#27
10.40.5
4.95.5
Auto2.4
Teleop6.7
End1.3
blue by 4.2
3349
#14
14.60.5
9.710.1
Auto3.0
Teleop10.0
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed