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Red112
382219.3
903234.3
453445.3
Blue29
43516.3
972412.0
672921.0
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10952010015011229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+91Teleop
+89Endgame
+83Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
6Leave0
6Coral scored#2
31Coral points9
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +63
10Coral scored#3
35Coral points10
3Processor algae#0
5Net algae#0
18Processor points0
20Net points0
38Algae points0
73Total teleop10
Reef
5L4#2
5L3#1
3L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#5
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +83
0Foul points6
112Total score29

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.30.3
44.745.0
Auto14.8
Teleop28.5
End1.9
red by 24.2
6729
#23
21.00.6
21.520.8
Auto2.1
Teleop17.9
End1.1
Second
9032
#17
34.30.3
33.734.0
Auto8.0
Teleop25.4
End0.9
red by 18.0
435
#16
16.30.6
16.716.1
Auto3.6
Teleop11.2
End1.5
Third
3822
#22
19.30.3
18.719.0
Auto6.1
Teleop11.5
End1.7
red by 7.3
12.00.6
12.411.8
Auto4.3
Teleop5.4
End2.3