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Red130
689435.6
904216.1
264027.3
Blue92
830421.7
481613.5
1058320.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions937405015020013092

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+62Teleop
+60Endgame
+38Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
3Leave3
3Coral scored#3
16Coral points15
19Total auto18
TeleoperatedRed +61
21Coral scored#9
75Coral points34
3Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
18Processor points6
16Net points8
34Algae points14
109Total teleop48
Reef
10L4#5
6L3#3
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
31Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +2
0Cage & park2
0Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +38
2Foul points24
130Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.60.7
33.334.0
Auto6.3
Teleop28.6
End0.7
red by 13.9
8304
#15
21.70.3
21.721.4
Auto5.4
Teleop15.0
End1.3
Second
2640
#11
27.30.7
25.125.8
Auto3.7
Teleop21.9
End1.7
red by 6.7
20.60.3
20.620.3
Auto4.0
Teleop14.5
End2.1
Third
9042
#20
16.10.7
13.914.5
Auto3.9
Teleop10.3
End1.8
red by 2.5
13.50.3
13.613.3
Auto4.1
Teleop7.5
End2.0