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Red85
919820.5
820514.4
560716.5
Blue100
333615.1
1012117.1
1030221.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7777758085909585100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+9
Endgame+15
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +6
9Leave3
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points12
9Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +3
15Coral scored#17
54Coral points61
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
72Total teleop75
Reef
4L4#9
5L3#4
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#22
BargeBlue +6
4Cage & park10
4Total endgame10
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points0
85Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9198
#10
20.50.2
20.320.5
Auto4.3
Teleop14.8
End1.4
blue by 1.2
21.60.6
20.721.3
Auto4.3
Teleop15.5
End1.9
Second
5607
#25
16.50.2
16.316.5
Auto3.1
Teleop12.6
End0.8
blue by 0.6
17.10.6
16.116.8
Auto5.1
Teleop10.8
End1.2
Third
8205
#29
14.40.2
14.214.4
Auto3.5
Teleop10.5
End0.4
blue by 0.7
3336
#18
15.10.6
14.214.8
Auto3.1
Teleop9.2
End2.8