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Red82
43516.3
972412.0
672921.0
Blue89
830421.7
481613.5
1058320.6
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6575020401001201408289

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+7
Endgame+7
Fouls+7
AutonomousBlue +6
0Leave6
2Coral scored#2
12Coral points12
12Total auto18
TeleoperatedBlue +1
12Coral scored#14
44Coral points49
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
66Total teleop67
Reef
5L4#7
4L3#3
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points0
82Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6729
#23
21.00.2
20.821.0
Auto2.1
Teleop17.9
End1.1
blue by 0.6
8304
#15
21.70.2
21.421.6
Auto5.4
Teleop15.0
End1.3
Second
435
#16
16.30.2
16.116.3
Auto3.6
Teleop11.2
End1.5
blue by 4.3
20.60.2
20.320.5
Auto4.0
Teleop14.5
End2.1
Third
12.00.2
11.812.0
Auto4.3
Teleop5.4
End2.3
blue by 1.5
13.50.2
13.313.5
Auto4.1
Teleop7.5
End2.0