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Red125
574048.7
29119.8
261452.3
Blue181
839351.5
902213.9
317374.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions130156050100200250300350125181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+30
Endgame+50
Fouls+56
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
9Coral scored#6
44Coral points31
44Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +37
15Coral scored#22
55Coral points80
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
65Total teleop102
Reef
9L4#9
6L3#10
6L2#7
3L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +56
0Foul points6
125Total score181

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.30.1
52.252.3
Auto12.1
Teleop34.2
End6.1
blue by 22.4
74.80.8
73.974.8
Auto17.4
Teleop45.8
End11.5
Second
48.70.1
48.648.7
Auto17.3
Teleop22.2
End9.2
blue by 2.8
51.50.8
50.751.5
Auto11.3
Teleop32.0
End8.3
Third
291
#17
19.80.1
19.819.8
Auto3.3
Teleop14.9
End1.7
red by 5.9
9022
#19
13.90.8
13.113.9
Auto2.6
Teleop9.3
End2.1