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Red115
261452.3
29119.8
574048.7
Blue167
839351.5
902213.9
317374.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132155050100200250300350115167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+26
Endgame+46
Fouls+52
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave0
6Coral scored#5
31Coral points23
37Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +40
13Coral scored#21
48Coral points74
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
6Processor points12
8Net points16
14Algae points28
62Total teleop102
Reef
6L4#7
6L3#6
3L2#7
4L1 · trough#6
22Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +20
16Cage & park36
16Total endgame36
Penalties & totalBlue +52
0Foul points6
115Total score167

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.30.1
52.452.2
Auto12.1
Teleop34.2
End6.1
blue by 22.4
74.80.6
73.473.9
Auto17.4
Teleop45.8
End11.5
Second
48.70.1
48.748.6
Auto17.3
Teleop22.2
End9.2
blue by 2.8
51.50.6
50.150.7
Auto11.3
Teleop32.0
End8.3
Third
291
#17
19.80.1
19.919.8
Auto3.3
Teleop14.9
End1.7
red by 5.9
9022
#19
13.90.6
12.513.1
Auto2.6
Teleop9.3
End2.1