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Red189
839351.5
902213.9
317374.8
Blue115
446749.7
947517.9
402743.5
67%Model gave it33%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions154122050100200250300189115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+42Teleop
+74Endgame
+74Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave3
4Coral scored#4
21Coral points20
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +35
26Coral scored#21
95Coral points74
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
123Total teleop88
Reef
11L4#11
12L3#6
4L2#6
3L1 · trough#2
36Game pieces#28
BargeRed +32
36Cage & park4
36Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +74
0Foul points0
189Total score115

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.81.3
72.173.4
Auto17.4
Teleop45.8
End11.5
red by 25.1
49.70.1
49.649.7
Auto12.0
Teleop32.6
End5.1
Second
51.51.3
48.950.1
Auto11.3
Teleop32.0
End8.3
red by 8.0
43.50.1
43.443.5
Auto10.7
Teleop27.7
End5.0
Third
9022
#19
13.91.3
11.312.5
Auto2.6
Teleop9.3
End2.1
blue by 4.0
9475
#20
17.90.1
17.917.9
Auto2.9
Teleop13.7
End1.3