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Red96
350428.3
1051317.4
11732.0
Blue141
446749.7
947517.9
402743.5
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7913205010015020096141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
Teleop+45
Endgame+43
Fouls+45
AutonomousBlue +1
3Leave9
5Coral scored#4
26Coral points21
29Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +44
11Coral scored#23
39Coral points83
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
6Processor points6
16Net points16
22Algae points22
61Total teleop105
Reef
6L4#12
6L3#9
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#32
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Penalties & totalBlue +45
0Foul points2
96Total score141

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
117
#16
32.00.4
31.632.0
Auto6.0
Teleop24.2
End1.8
blue by 17.7
49.70.7
48.949.6
Auto12.0
Teleop32.6
End5.1
Second
3504
#14
28.30.4
27.928.3
Auto11.1
Teleop14.9
End2.3
blue by 15.2
43.50.7
42.743.4
Auto10.7
Teleop27.7
End5.0
Third
17.40.4
17.017.4
Auto6.8
Teleop10.1
End0.4
blue by 0.5
9475
#20
17.90.7
17.217.9
Auto2.9
Teleop13.7
End1.3