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Red79
919418.8
1051317.4
261452.3
Blue33
902213.9
29119.8
415021.0
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109630501001502007933

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+46Teleop
+46Endgame
+46Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave3
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points10
23Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +36
11Coral scored#3
38Coral points12
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
52Total teleop16
Reef
5L4#2
3L3#1
4L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#6
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +46
0Foul points0
79Total score33

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.30.8
52.751.9
Auto12.1
Teleop34.2
End6.1
red by 31.4
4150
#13
21.01.5
20.619.1
Auto6.9
Teleop8.6
End5.4
Second
9194
#21
18.80.8
19.919.2
Auto3.8
Teleop12.5
End2.5
blue by 1.0
291
#17
19.81.5
20.318.8
Auto3.3
Teleop14.9
End1.7
Third
17.40.8
18.017.2
Auto6.8
Teleop10.1
End0.4
red by 3.5
9022
#19
13.91.5
15.013.4
Auto2.6
Teleop9.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
45%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsMissed