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Red169
574048.7
265619.6
839351.5
Blue100
255916.8
965310.3
402743.5
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14479050100200250169100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+57Teleop
+75Endgame
+69Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
3Leave3
7Coral scored#3
34Coral points16
37Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +39
16Coral scored#16
56Coral points59
4Processor algae#1
7Net algae#1
24Processor points6
28Net points4
52Algae points10
108Total teleop69
Reef
6L4#9
6L3#5
6L2#3
5L1 · trough#2
34Game pieces#21
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +69
0Foul points6
169Total score100

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.51.3
50.451.7
Auto11.3
Teleop32.0
End8.3
red by 8.0
43.50.7
43.442.6
Auto10.7
Teleop27.7
End5.0
Second
48.71.3
46.547.8
Auto17.3
Teleop22.2
End9.2
red by 31.9
2559
#10
16.80.7
17.216.5
Auto4.5
Teleop7.9
End4.4
Third
2656
#12
19.61.3
18.319.6
Auto5.2
Teleop13.3
End1.0
red by 9.3
9653
#18
10.30.7
11.010.3
Auto2.6
Teleop6.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned44%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
71%Barge oddsEarned75%Barge oddsMissed