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Red66
350428.3
261452.3
727414.1
Blue73
326026.1
11732.0
255916.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions119890501001502006673

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+15Teleop
+3Endgame
Fouls+7
AutonomousRed +18
6Leave0
6Coral scored#4
31Coral points19
37Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +3
5Coral scored#7
19Coral points26
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
0Processor points0
8Net points4
8Algae points4
27Total teleop30
Reef
6L4#3
2L3#4
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +7
0Foul points10
66Total score73

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.32.5
51.949.5
Auto12.1
Teleop34.2
End6.1
red by 20.3
117
#16
32.01.4
35.333.9
Auto6.0
Teleop24.2
End1.8
Second
3504
#14
28.32.5
30.928.5
Auto11.1
Teleop14.9
End2.3
red by 2.2
26.11.4
26.625.2
Auto6.0
Teleop15.0
End5.1
Third
7274
#11
14.12.5
17.114.6
Auto4.1
Teleop7.6
End2.4
blue by 2.8
2559
#10
16.81.4
16.515.1
Auto4.5
Teleop7.9
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
94%Auto oddsEarned73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsMissed52%Barge oddsEarned