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Red109
1051317.4
839351.5
499127.6
Blue52
29119.8
265619.6
965310.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1256305010015020025010952

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+27Auto
+65Teleop
+63Endgame
+57Fouls
AutonomousRed +27
6Leave9
6Coral scored#0
30Coral points0
36Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +38
14Coral scored#6
51Coral points21
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
69Total teleop31
Reef
6L4#2
7L3#1
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
24Game pieces#8
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +57
0Foul points6
109Total score52

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.50.0
51.751.7
Auto11.3
Teleop32.0
End8.3
red by 31.7
291
#17
19.81.0
19.518.5
Auto3.3
Teleop14.9
End1.7
Second
27.60.0
28.028.0
Auto7.5
Teleop20.3
End-0.2
red by 8.1
2656
#12
19.61.0
19.618.6
Auto5.2
Teleop13.3
End1.0
Third
17.40.0
17.917.9
Auto6.8
Teleop10.1
End0.4
red by 7.1
9653
#18
10.31.0
10.39.3
Auto2.6
Teleop6.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
23%Coral oddsEarned9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed