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Red64
751530.1
947517.9
11732.0
Blue102
326026.1
574048.7
415021.0
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9211005015020064102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+28
Endgame+24
Fouls+38
AutonomousBlue +28
0Leave9
2Coral scored#6
9Coral points28
9Total auto37
Teleoperatedlevel
10Coral scored#10
35Coral points37
1Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
6Processor points0
4Net points8
10Algae points8
45Total teleop45
Reef
4L4#8
3L3#4
4L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
14Game pieces#18
BargeRed +4
10Cage & park6
10Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
0Foul points14
64Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
117
#16
32.01.4
33.932.5
Auto6.0
Teleop24.2
End1.8
blue by 16.7
48.70.4
47.847.4
Auto17.3
Teleop22.2
End9.2
Second
7515
#15
30.11.4
31.029.7
Auto5.3
Teleop19.6
End5.2
red by 3.9
26.10.4
25.224.8
Auto6.0
Teleop15.0
End5.1
Third
9475
#20
17.91.4
19.618.2
Auto2.9
Teleop13.7
End1.3
blue by 3.0
4150
#13
21.00.4
21.220.8
Auto6.9
Teleop8.6
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsMissed81%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed95%Barge oddsMissed