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Red149
446749.7
402743.5
350428.3
Blue64
415021.0
751530.1
265619.6
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1597705010020025030014964

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+61Teleop
+67Endgame
+85Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
3Leave6
7Coral scored#1
34Coral points3
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +33
17Coral scored#10
62Coral points37
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
6Processor points6
12Net points4
18Algae points10
80Total teleop47
Reef
10L4#5
7L3#2
3L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#13
BargeRed +6
14Cage & park8
14Total endgame8
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +85
18Foul points0
149Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.71.0
57.756.6
Auto12.0
Teleop32.6
End5.1
red by 19.6
7515
#15
30.11.2
37.336.1
Auto5.3
Teleop19.6
End5.2
Second
43.51.0
44.943.8
Auto10.7
Teleop27.7
End5.0
red by 22.5
4150
#13
21.01.2
20.819.7
Auto6.9
Teleop8.6
End5.4
Third
3504
#14
28.31.0
38.037.0
Auto11.1
Teleop14.9
End2.3
red by 8.8
2656
#12
19.61.5
17.916.4
Auto5.2
Teleop13.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
25%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned50%Barge oddsMissed