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Red122
29119.8
317374.8
326026.1
Blue82
727414.1
902213.9
839351.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1529205020025030012282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+22Teleop
+38Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave6
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points7
23Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +12
15Coral scored#14
53Coral points49
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#2
12Processor points12
16Net points8
28Algae points20
81Total teleop69
Reef
5L4#5
5L3#4
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#19
BargeRed +16
16Cage & park0
16Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
2Foul points0
122Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.81.1
72.070.9
Auto17.4
Teleop45.8
End11.5
red by 23.3
51.51.0
50.649.6
Auto11.3
Teleop32.0
End8.3
Second
26.11.1
30.629.5
Auto6.0
Teleop15.0
End5.1
red by 12.1
7274
#11
14.11.4
19.217.9
Auto4.1
Teleop7.6
End2.4
Third
291
#17
19.81.4
26.024.6
Auto3.3
Teleop14.9
End1.7
red by 5.9
9022
#19
13.91.4
18.917.6
Auto2.6
Teleop9.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
53%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsMissed