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Red67
751530.1
902213.9
350428.3
Blue90
839351.5
415021.0
255916.8
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions959760801201406790

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+1
Endgame+17
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave9
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points14
16Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +6
8Coral scored#7
27Coral points25
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
6Processor points6
8Net points4
14Algae points10
41Total teleop35
Reef
5L4#3
3L3#3
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
14Game pieces#12
BargeBlue +16
10Cage & park26
10Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
0Foul points6
67Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7515
#15
30.11.6
36.134.6
Auto5.3
Teleop19.6
End5.2
blue by 21.4
51.50.5
49.649.1
Auto11.3
Teleop32.0
End8.3
Second
3504
#14
28.31.6
37.035.4
Auto11.1
Teleop14.9
End2.3
red by 7.4
4150
#13
21.00.5
19.719.2
Auto6.9
Teleop8.6
End5.4
Third
9022
#19
13.91.9
17.615.6
Auto2.6
Teleop9.3
End2.1
blue by 2.9
2559
#10
16.80.5
15.815.4
Auto4.5
Teleop7.9
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned39%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
58%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsEarned