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Red56
499127.6
446749.7
29119.8
Blue171
11732.0
574048.7
317374.8
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1281855010015020025030056171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+31
Teleop+103
Endgame+115
Fouls+115
AutonomousBlue +31
3Leave0
3Coral scored#9
13Coral points47
16Total auto47
TeleoperatedBlue +72
8Coral scored#22
28Coral points80
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#6
6Processor points6
4Net points24
10Algae points30
38Total teleop110
Reef
5L4#13
4L3#10
1L2#5
1L1 · trough#3
13Game pieces#38
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +115
0Foul points0
56Total score171

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.75.3
56.651.3
Auto12.0
Teleop32.6
End5.1
blue by 25.1
74.80.3
70.970.6
Auto17.4
Teleop45.8
End11.5
Second
27.65.3
37.131.8
Auto7.5
Teleop20.3
End-0.2
blue by 21.0
48.70.3
49.549.3
Auto17.3
Teleop22.2
End9.2
Third
291
#17
19.85.9
24.618.7
Auto3.3
Teleop14.9
End1.7
blue by 12.2
117
#16
32.00.3
38.137.8
Auto6.0
Teleop24.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned95%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
33%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
46%Barge oddsMissed94%Barge oddsEarned