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Red94
265619.6
1051317.4
402743.5
Blue61
965310.3
326026.1
919418.8
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90700501502002509461

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+35Teleop
+33Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
6Leave0
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points12
26Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +21
13Coral scored#7
46Coral points25
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
64Total teleop43
Reef
6L4#3
5L3#3
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
21Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points0
94Total score61

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.50.7
43.844.5
Auto10.7
Teleop27.7
End5.0
red by 17.4
26.10.6
29.528.9
Auto6.0
Teleop15.0
End5.1
Second
2656
#12
19.60.9
16.417.3
Auto5.2
Teleop13.3
End1.0
red by 0.8
9194
#21
18.80.6
20.920.4
Auto3.8
Teleop12.5
End2.5
Third
17.40.9
14.915.8
Auto6.8
Teleop10.1
End0.4
red by 7.1
9653
#18
10.30.6
10.49.8
Auto2.6
Teleop6.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsMissed47%Barge oddsMissed