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Red82
499127.6
350428.3
574048.7
Blue151
839351.5
29119.8
261452.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1331375010015020082151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+59
Endgame+83
Fouls+69
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
5Coral scored#5
23Coral points23
23Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +59
8Coral scored#21
29Coral points76
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#5
6Processor points6
8Net points20
14Algae points26
43Total teleop102
Reef
6L4#10
2L3#7
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#5
16Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +24
2Cage & park26
2Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +69
14Foul points0
82Total score151

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.74.4
49.344.8
Auto17.3
Teleop22.2
End9.2
blue by 3.7
52.31.1
51.252.3
Auto12.1
Teleop34.2
End6.1
Second
3504
#14
28.34.4
35.431.0
Auto11.1
Teleop14.9
End2.3
blue by 23.2
8393
#2Sur
51.51.1
49.150.3
Auto11.3
Teleop32.0
End8.3
Third
4991
#7Sur
27.64.4
31.827.4
Auto7.5
Teleop20.3
End-0.2
red by 7.8
291
#17
19.81.1
18.719.9
Auto3.3
Teleop14.9
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
84%Barge oddsEarned32%Barge oddsEarned