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Red86
326026.1
751530.1
446749.7
Blue56
255916.8
902213.9
1051317.4
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1354001001502008656

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
+26Teleop
+30Endgame
+30Fouls
AutonomousRed +4
6Leave3
2Coral scored#2
10Coral points9
16Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +22
10Coral scored#7
36Coral points24
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
50Total teleop28
Reef
4L4#4
4L3#3
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#10
BargeRed +4
20Cage & park16
20Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +30
0Foul points0
86Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.72.1
51.349.2
Auto12.0
Teleop32.6
End5.1
red by 32.3
17.40.2
15.816.0
Auto6.8
Teleop10.1
End0.4
Second
7515
#15
30.12.1
34.632.4
Auto5.3
Teleop19.6
End5.2
red by 13.3
2559
#10
16.80.2
15.415.6
Auto4.5
Teleop7.9
End4.4
Third
3260
#4Sur
26.12.1
28.926.8
Auto6.0
Teleop15.0
End5.1
red by 12.2
9022
#19
13.90.2
15.615.9
Auto2.6
Teleop9.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned80%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
63%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsEarned