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Red124
265619.6
727414.1
317374.8
Blue74
965310.3
947517.9
415021.0
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13345010015020025012474

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+50Teleop
+48Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
3Leave9
5Coral scored#1
23Coral points4
26Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +37
17Coral scored#8
60Coral points27
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
82Total teleop45
Reef
8L4#3
6L3#2
4L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +50
2Foul points0
124Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.80.5
70.671.2
Auto17.4
Teleop45.8
End11.5
red by 53.8
4150
#13
21.01.0
19.220.3
Auto6.9
Teleop8.6
End5.4
Second
2656
#12
19.60.6
17.317.9
Auto5.2
Teleop13.3
End1.0
red by 1.6
9475
#20
17.91.2
17.718.9
Auto2.9
Teleop13.7
End1.3
Third
7274
#11
14.10.6
15.516.0
Auto4.1
Teleop7.6
End2.4
red by 3.8
9653
#18
10.31.0
9.810.9
Auto2.6
Teleop6.4
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
20%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsEarned54%Barge oddsEarned