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Red91
402743.5
499127.6
751530.1
Blue77
11732.0
919418.8
902213.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123820501001502002509177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+20Teleop
+28Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
0Leave9
5Coral scored#1
27Coral points3
27Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +5
10Coral scored#9
36Coral points31
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#2
6Processor points6
8Net points8
14Algae points14
50Total teleop45
Reef
5L4#2
6L3#4
3L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#13
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points14
91Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.51.1
44.543.5
Auto10.7
Teleop27.7
End5.0
red by 11.5
117
#16
32.00.9
37.836.9
Auto6.0
Teleop24.2
End1.8
Second
7515
#15
30.11.1
32.431.3
Auto5.3
Teleop19.6
End5.2
red by 11.3
9194
#21
18.80.9
20.419.5
Auto3.8
Teleop12.5
End2.5
Third
27.61.1
27.426.3
Auto7.5
Teleop20.3
End-0.2
red by 13.7
9022
#19
13.90.9
15.915.0
Auto2.6
Teleop9.3
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsMissed73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
14%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned27%Barge oddsEarned