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Red112
261452.3
326026.1
265619.6
Blue152
839351.5
446749.7
947517.9
32%Model gave it68%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111137050150200250112152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+8
Teleop+34
Endgame+34
Fouls+40
AutonomousBlue +8
0Leave9
5Coral scored#5
26Coral points25
26Total auto34
TeleoperatedBlue +26
12Coral scored#17
44Coral points62
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#6
12Processor points12
16Net points24
28Algae points36
72Total teleop98
Reef
6L4#9
5L3#4
4L2#6
2L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#30
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +40
0Foul points6
112Total score152

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.30.4
52.352.7
Auto12.1
Teleop34.2
End6.1
red by 0.8
51.51.1
50.351.4
Auto11.3
Teleop32.0
End8.3
Second
26.10.4
26.827.2
Auto6.0
Teleop15.0
End5.1
blue by 23.6
49.71.1
49.250.3
Auto12.0
Teleop32.6
End5.1
Third
2656
#12
19.60.4
17.918.3
Auto5.2
Teleop13.3
End1.0
red by 1.6
9475
#20
17.91.1
18.920.0
Auto2.9
Teleop13.7
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
76%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
58%Barge oddsEarned54%Barge oddsEarned