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Red146
1051317.4
317374.8
965310.3
Blue113
415021.0
350428.3
11732.0
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11696020406080140160146113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+23Teleop
+33Endgame
+33Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
5Coral scored#6
27Coral points30
30Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +26
17Coral scored#16
60Coral points56
3Processor algae#2
6Net algae#2
18Processor points12
24Net points8
42Algae points20
102Total teleop76
Reef
10L4#6
7L3#7
2L2#6
3L1 · trough#3
31Game pieces#26
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +33
0Foul points0
146Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.82.0
71.273.1
Auto17.4
Teleop45.8
End11.5
red by 42.8
117
#16
32.00.4
36.937.3
Auto6.0
Teleop24.2
End1.8
Second
17.42.0
16.018.0
Auto6.8
Teleop10.1
End0.4
blue by 10.9
3504
#14
28.30.4
31.031.3
Auto11.1
Teleop14.9
End2.3
Third
9653
#18
10.32.0
10.912.9
Auto2.6
Teleop6.4
End1.3
blue by 10.7
4150
#13
21.00.4
20.320.6
Auto6.9
Teleop8.6
End5.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
88%Auto oddsEarned79%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
35%Coral oddsEarned7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
73%Barge oddsEarned85%Barge oddsMissed