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Red101
255916.8
727414.1
574048.7
Blue92
402743.5
29119.8
919418.8
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9410040608012014016010192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+1Teleop
+11Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave0
6Coral scored#5
30Coral points23
33Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +9
8Coral scored#8
28Coral points29
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#4
6Processor points6
8Net points16
14Algae points22
42Total teleop51
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#3
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#18
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points2
101Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.71.6
44.846.5
Auto17.3
Teleop22.2
End9.2
red by 5.2
43.50.5
43.543.9
Auto10.7
Teleop27.7
End5.0
Second
2559
#10
16.81.6
15.617.2
Auto4.5
Teleop7.9
End4.4
blue by 3.0
291
#17
19.80.5
19.920.3
Auto3.3
Teleop14.9
End1.7
Third
7274
#11
14.11.6
16.017.7
Auto4.1
Teleop7.6
End2.4
blue by 4.7
9194
#21
18.80.5
19.519.9
Auto3.8
Teleop12.5
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned37%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned48%Barge oddsEarned