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Red83
751530.1
919418.8
499127.6
Blue95
350428.3
1051317.4
11732.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8986204060801001208395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+16
Endgame+12
Fouls+12
AutonomousBlue +10
9Leave6
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points16
12Total auto22
TeleoperatedBlue +6
14Coral scored#11
51Coral points39
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
6Processor points12
8Net points20
14Algae points32
65Total teleop71
Reef
5L4#7
3L3#4
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#21
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Penalties & totalBlue +12
0Foul points0
83Total score95

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7515
#15
30.10.1
30.030.1
Auto5.3
Teleop19.6
End5.2
blue by 1.9
117
#16
32.00.4
31.231.6
Auto6.0
Teleop24.2
End1.8
Second
27.60.1
27.627.6
Auto7.5
Teleop20.3
End-0.2
blue by 0.7
3504
#14
28.30.4
27.527.9
Auto11.1
Teleop14.9
End2.3
Third
9194
#21
18.80.1
18.718.8
Auto3.8
Teleop12.5
End2.5
red by 1.4
17.40.4
16.617.0
Auto6.8
Teleop10.1
End0.4