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Red151
446749.7
947517.9
402743.5
Blue120
326026.1
265619.6
965310.3
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136600100150200151120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
+31Teleop
+31Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousBlue +6
9Leave6
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points16
16Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +37
22Coral scored#14
79Coral points52
4Processor algae#3
7Net algae#6
24Processor points18
28Net points24
52Algae points42
131Total teleop94
Reef
10L4#5
5L3#5
3L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
34Game pieces#26
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +31
0Foul points0
151Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.70.2
48.748.9
Auto12.0
Teleop32.6
End5.1
red by 23.6
26.10.7
25.526.1
Auto6.0
Teleop15.0
End5.1
Second
43.50.2
42.542.7
Auto10.7
Teleop27.7
End5.0
red by 23.9
2656
#12
19.60.7
18.919.6
Auto5.2
Teleop13.3
End1.0
Third
9475
#20
17.90.2
17.017.2
Auto2.9
Teleop13.7
End1.3
red by 7.7
9653
#18
10.30.7
9.610.3
Auto2.6
Teleop6.4
End1.3