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Red151
261452.3
29119.8
574048.7
Blue97
751530.1
919418.8
499127.6
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1437805010020015197

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+35Auto
+34Teleop
+54Endgame
+54Fouls
AutonomousRed +35
0Leave0
9Coral scored#2
44Coral points9
44Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +1
17Coral scored#15
61Coral points54
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#4
12Processor points12
8Net points16
20Algae points28
81Total teleop82
Reef
11L4#6
5L3#4
5L2#4
5L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#23
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +54
0Foul points0
151Total score97

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
52.30.7
51.452.1
Auto12.1
Teleop34.2
End6.1
red by 22.3
7515
#15
30.10.4
29.630.0
Auto5.3
Teleop19.6
End5.2
Second
48.70.7
47.848.4
Auto17.3
Teleop22.2
End9.2
red by 21.0
27.60.4
27.227.6
Auto7.5
Teleop20.3
End-0.2
Third
291
#17
19.80.7
19.019.6
Auto3.3
Teleop14.9
End1.7
red by 1.0
9194
#21
18.80.4
18.418.7
Auto3.8
Teleop12.5
End2.5