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Red125
839351.5
902213.9
317374.8
Blue76
446749.7
947517.9
402743.5
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15712305010020025030035012576

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+49Teleop
+49Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
9Leave0
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points16
29Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +36
10Coral scored#7
36Coral points24
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
18Processor points6
20Net points8
38Algae points14
74Total teleop38
Reef
3L4#3
5L3#3
4L2#2
2L1 · trough#2
22Game pieces#13
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Penalties & totalRed +49
6Foul points6
125Total score76

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.80.3
72.572.2
Auto17.4
Teleop45.8
End11.5
red by 25.1
49.70.9
49.648.7
Auto12.0
Teleop32.6
End5.1
Second
51.50.3
49.349.0
Auto11.3
Teleop32.0
End8.3
red by 8.0
43.50.9
43.442.5
Auto10.7
Teleop27.7
End5.0
Third
9022
#19
13.90.3
11.711.4
Auto2.6
Teleop9.3
End2.1
blue by 4.0
9475
#20
17.90.9
17.917.0
Auto2.9
Teleop13.7
End1.3