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Red100
446749.7
947517.9
402743.5
Blue89
350428.3
1051317.4
11732.0
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1358305010015020010089

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+11Teleop
+11Endgame
+11Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave6
5Coral scored#4
23Coral points20
23Total auto26
TeleoperatedRed +14
16Coral scored#13
57Coral points47
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
6Processor points6
12Net points8
18Algae points14
75Total teleop61
Reef
8L4#7
6L3#5
5L2#3
2L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#20
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Penalties & totalRed +11
0Foul points0
100Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
49.70.3
50.049.6
Auto12.0
Teleop32.6
End5.1
red by 17.7
117
#16
32.00.1
32.532.6
Auto6.0
Teleop24.2
End1.8
Second
43.50.3
43.743.4
Auto10.7
Teleop27.7
End5.0
red by 15.2
3504
#14
28.30.1
28.928.9
Auto11.1
Teleop14.9
End2.3
Third
9475
#20
17.90.3
18.217.9
Auto2.9
Teleop13.7
End1.3
red by 0.5
17.40.1
17.918.0
Auto6.8
Teleop10.1
End0.4