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Red15
839351.5
317374.8
902213.9
Blue0
99988.6
99998.6
99978.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17815050100150200250150

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+9Teleop
+15Endgame
+15Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
9Leave0
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto0
Teleoperatedlevel
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
0Total teleop0
Reef
0L4#0
0L3#0
0L2#0
0L1 · trough#0
0Game pieces#0
BargeRed +6
6Cage & park0
6Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +15
0Foul points0
15Total score0

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.82.8
75.472.5
Auto17.4
Teleop45.8
End11.5
red by 66.1
9997
Unranked
8.61.2
10.99.7
Auto2.0
Teleop5.0
End1.1
Second
51.52.8
52.149.3
Auto11.3
Teleop32.0
End8.3
red by 42.9
9998
Unranked
8.61.2
10.99.7
Auto2.0
Teleop5.0
End1.1
Third
9022
#19
13.92.8
14.511.7
Auto2.6
Teleop9.3
End2.1
red by 5.3
9999
Unranked
8.61.2
10.99.7
Auto2.0
Teleop5.0
End1.1