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Red62
919418.8
727414.1
499127.6
Blue120
350428.3
839351.5
326026.1
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7113005010015020062120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+48
Endgame+58
Fouls+58
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave6
2Coral scored#5
10Coral points24
16Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +34
9Coral scored#16
32Coral points58
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
6Processor points6
4Net points12
10Algae points18
42Total teleop76
Reef
4L4#8
3L3#5
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#5
13Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +58
0Foul points0
62Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.60.7
28.027.3
Auto7.5
Teleop20.3
End-0.2
blue by 23.9
51.50.4
51.752.1
Auto11.3
Teleop32.0
End8.3
Second
9194
#21
18.80.7
19.218.4
Auto3.8
Teleop12.5
End2.5
blue by 9.5
3504
#14
28.30.4
28.528.9
Auto11.1
Teleop14.9
End2.3
Third
7274
#11
14.10.7
14.613.9
Auto4.1
Teleop7.6
End2.4
blue by 12.1
26.10.4
24.825.2
Auto6.0
Teleop15.0
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned83%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed12%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed65%Barge oddsEarned