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Red50
76718.9
690810.7
90039.3
Blue16
744314.2
1026014.7
97887.8
54%Model gave it46%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions565002040801001201401605016

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+36Teleop
+34Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave0
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
13Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +29
6Coral scored#2
21Coral points6
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#0
6Processor points0
8Net points0
14Algae points0
35Total teleop6
Reef
3L4#1
3L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
12Game pieces#3
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points0
50Total score16

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
900
#2
39.30.0
25.225.3
Auto8.7
Teleop28.2
End2.3
red by 24.6
14.73.3
13.610.3
Auto4.1
Teleop9.2
End1.4
Second
6908
#21
10.70.0
9.89.9
Auto1.8
Teleop7.2
End1.6
blue by 3.5
7443
#27
14.23.3
21.117.8
Auto3.4
Teleop8.9
End1.9
Third
7671
#25
8.90.0
14.614.6
Auto2.7
Teleop5.5
End0.7
red by 1.1
9788
#32
7.83.3
11.17.8
Auto2.0
Teleop5.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
41%Auto oddsEarned43%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
30%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsMissed