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Red25
809013.1
48168.0
591915.2
Blue56
486133.0
1007215.2
1012111.7
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions285802040801002556

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+23
Endgame+31
Fouls+31
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +20
2Coral scored#6
6Coral points20
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
10Total teleop30
Reef
1L4#3
0L3#2
1L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
3Game pieces#9
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +31
0Foul points0
25Total score56

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5919
#17
15.20.3
10.310.0
Auto4.5
Teleop8.5
End2.2
blue by 17.8
33.00.4
22.022.4
Auto5.8
Teleop19.0
End8.3
Second
8090
#12
13.10.2
6.36.1
Auto3.1
Teleop8.0
End2.0
blue by 2.1
15.20.7
13.814.5
Auto3.7
Teleop9.2
End2.3
Third
4816
#26
8.00.3
11.110.8
Auto3.0
Teleop3.9
End1.1
blue by 3.6
11.70.7
14.014.7
Auto3.8
Teleop6.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
23%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed68%Barge oddsEarned