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Red33
904211.6
516022.9
1030216.7
Blue66
43510.2
345918.3
479547.9
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4585020601001201401603366

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+31
Endgame+33
Fouls+33
Autonomouslevel
9Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
9Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +31
3Coral scored#11
12Coral points39
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
6Processor points6
0Net points4
6Algae points10
18Total teleop49
Reef
1L4#5
1L3#4
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
2Foul points2
33Total score66

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5160
#20
22.92.0
20.818.8
Auto3.1
Teleop18.5
End1.3
blue by 25.1
47.90.9
41.840.9
Auto10.0
Teleop37.0
End0.9
Second
16.72.0
14.012.0
Auto3.5
Teleop12.1
End1.0
blue by 1.7
3459
#16
18.31.5
20.919.4
Auto3.7
Teleop11.2
End3.4
Third
9042
#24
11.62.0
11.09.0
Auto3.9
Teleop6.4
End1.4
red by 1.4
435
#28
10.21.5
12.310.8
Auto2.8
Teleop5.8
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
36%Auto oddsMissed50%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed