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Red34
62403.7
873835.3
55187.8
Blue15
903231.6
33499.4
875812.7
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605202040801001203415

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+17Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave9
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +20
5Coral scored#1
18Coral points2
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
22Total teleop2
Reef
2L4#0
2L3#1
1L2#0
0L1 · trough#0
6Game pieces#1
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
34Total score15

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.32.1
28.025.9
Auto7.3
Teleop25.6
End2.4
red by 3.7
31.63.6
21.918.3
Auto8.1
Teleop22.2
End1.2
Second
5518
#13
7.82.1
16.714.6
Auto2.2
Teleop3.9
End1.8
blue by 4.9
8758
#14
12.73.6
11.57.9
Auto4.0
Teleop7.0
End1.7
Third
6240
#31
3.72.1
8.26.1
Auto1.4
Teleop1.6
End0.6
blue by 5.7
3349
#22
9.43.6
13.910.3
Auto0.6
Teleop7.7
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
38%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed