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Red10
51908.0
322920.6
76718.9
Blue58
903231.6
1026014.7
55187.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45471020304050601058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+13
Teleop+18
Endgame+14
Fouls+48
AutonomousBlue +13
0Leave0
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points19
6Total auto19
TeleoperatedBlue +5
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points5
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
0Total teleop5
Reef
1L4#2
0L3#1
0L2#1
0L1 · trough#1
1Game pieces#5
BargeRed +4
4Cage & park0
4Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +48
0Foul points34
10Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3229
#11
20.63.5
15.411.9
Auto5.0
Teleop14.3
End1.3
blue by 11.0
31.62.1
18.316.2
Auto8.1
Teleop22.2
End1.2
Second
7671
#25
8.93.5
14.611.1
Auto2.7
Teleop5.5
End0.7
blue by 5.8
14.72.1
10.38.1
Auto4.1
Teleop9.2
End1.4
Third
5190
#30
8.03.5
11.58.0
Auto3.9
Teleop2.1
End2.0
red by 0.2
5518
#13
7.82.1
14.612.4
Auto2.2
Teleop3.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsMissed38%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
25%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsEarned