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Red15
97887.8
48168.0
903231.6
Blue19
55187.8
264220.8
33499.4
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions306102040801001201519

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+10Teleop
+8Endgame
Fouls+4
Autonomouslevel
0Leave3
1Coral scored#0
3Coral points0
3Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +10
3Coral scored#0
10Coral points0
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
10Total teleop0
Reef
2L4#0
1L3#0
1L2#0
0L1 · trough#0
4Game pieces#0
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points12
15Total score19

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.61.9
16.214.3
Auto8.1
Teleop22.2
End1.2
red by 10.7
2642
#23
20.85.1
29.023.9
Auto3.7
Teleop15.6
End1.5
Second
4816
#26
8.01.9
8.06.1
Auto3.0
Teleop3.9
End1.1
blue by 1.3
3349
#22
9.45.1
11.66.5
Auto0.6
Teleop7.7
End1.1
Third
9788
#32
7.81.9
7.85.9
Auto2.0
Teleop5.0
End0.8
blue by 0.1
5518
#13
7.85.1
12.47.3
Auto2.2
Teleop3.9
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
57%Auto oddsMissed33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
24%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed