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Qual 182025 FNC District Wake County Event
Red39
874616.2
76718.9
1030216.7
Blue58
486133.0
904211.6
875812.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41400102030506070803958

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+23
Endgame+31
Fouls+19
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +17
3Coral scored#7
11Coral points24
1Processor algae#1
0Net algae#1
6Processor points6
0Net points4
6Algae points10
17Total teleop34
Reef
1L4#2
1L3#3
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
4Game pieces#10
BargeBlue +8
4Cage & park12
4Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +19
12Foul points0
39Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
10302
#19
16.71.6
9.2→7.7
Auto3.5
Teleop12.1
End1.0
blue by 16.3
4861
#3
33.00.7
20.7→21.4
Auto5.8
Teleop19.0
End8.3
Second
8746
#10
16.21.6
14.7→13.2
Auto2.3
Teleop13.2
End0.8
red by 3.5
8758
#14
12.71.1
7.9→9.0
Auto4.0
Teleop7.0
End1.7
Third
7671
#25
8.91.6
11.1→9.6
Auto2.7
Teleop5.5
End0.7
blue by 2.7
9042
#24
11.61.1
10.3→11.4
Auto3.9
Teleop6.4
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed41%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsMissed