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Red66
978915.1
744314.2
873835.3
Blue25
62403.7
591915.2
322920.6
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6024040801001206625

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+1
+39Teleop
+41Endgame
+41Fouls
AutonomousBlue +1
0Leave6
2Coral scored#1
12Coral points7
12Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +40
9Coral scored#1
34Coral points4
1Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
6Processor points0
8Net points4
14Algae points4
48Total teleop8
Reef
5L4#1
3L3#1
2L2#0
1L1 · trough#0
14Game pieces#3
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +41
0Foul points0
66Total score25

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.31.6
27.228.8
Auto7.3
Teleop25.6
End2.4
red by 14.7
3229
#11
20.60.1
11.911.8
Auto5.0
Teleop14.3
End1.3
Second
15.11.6
7.08.5
Auto4.9
Teleop9.0
End1.1
blue by 0.1
5919
#17
15.20.1
7.37.2
Auto4.5
Teleop8.5
End2.2
Third
7443
#27
14.21.6
17.819.4
Auto3.4
Teleop8.9
End1.9
red by 10.5
6240
#31
3.70.1
7.17.0
Auto1.4
Teleop1.6
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned12%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
19%Barge oddsMissed15%Barge oddsMissed