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Red23
560711.7
690810.7
479547.9
Blue46
1012111.7
205931.9
516022.9
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70510204060801001201402346

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+27
Endgame+29
Fouls+23
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +24
1Coral scored#7
5Coral points25
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#2
0Processor points0
4Net points8
4Algae points8
9Total teleop33
Reef
0L4#4
1L3#2
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#1
2Game pieces#11
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +23
6Foul points0
23Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.93.2
41.538.3
Auto10.0
Teleop37.0
End0.9
red by 16.0
31.90.5
22.822.3
Auto5.9
Teleop24.8
End1.2
Second
5607
#29
11.75.4
13.98.5
Auto2.8
Teleop7.9
End1.0
blue by 11.2
5160
#20
22.90.5
14.413.9
Auto3.1
Teleop18.5
End1.3
Third
6908
#21
10.75.4
9.94.5
Auto1.8
Teleop7.2
End1.6
blue by 1.0
11.70.5
13.212.7
Auto3.8
Teleop6.5
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsMissed28%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
20%Barge oddsMissed25%Barge oddsMissed