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Red21
62403.7
744314.2
560711.7
Blue136
51908.0
97887.8
873835.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3744020608010012021136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+45
Endgame+49
Fouls+115
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave0
0Coral scored#3
0Coral points13
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +38
2Coral scored#9
7Coral points31
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
0Processor points6
0Net points8
0Algae points14
7Total teleop45
Reef
1L4#4
1L3#4
0L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
2Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +115
6Foul points72
21Total score136

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7443
#27
14.22.2
19.417.1
Auto3.4
Teleop8.9
End1.9
blue by 21.1
35.32.6
28.831.4
Auto7.3
Teleop25.6
End2.4
Second
5607
#29
11.72.2
8.56.3
Auto2.8
Teleop7.9
End1.0
red by 3.6
5190
#30
8.02.6
5.88.4
Auto3.9
Teleop2.1
End2.0
Third
6240
#31
3.72.2
7.04.7
Auto1.4
Teleop1.6
End0.6
blue by 4.1
9788
#32
7.82.6
5.98.5
Auto2.0
Teleop5.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsMissed36%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsEarned